Official-data country report · Evergreen analysis
Japan property market report
A current official-data report on Japan house prices, inflation-adjusted movement, valuation signals, regional peers and published local market depth.
- Current through
- 2026-Q2
- Data refreshed
- Aug 10, 2026
- Latest price period
- 2025-Q4
- Annual house prices
- +5.0%
- Quality-gated metrics
- 5
- Published local markets
- 0
Market scorecard
What the official series say about Japan
Directional signals, not an investment rating. Open any measure to inspect its period, source and complete history.
Deterministic reading
What the current official data says
Every statement below is rebuilt from the published metric values, periods, regional ranking, peer set and local coverage. No runtime language model is used.
01 · Report finding
The national price cycle
Japan's official residential property price index rose +5.0% in the latest comparable year through 2025-Q4. The quality-gated series contains 44 observations from 2015-Q1; movement since that first observation is +37.8%. The index records direction and scale within the source definition, not the currency cost of a typical home.
02 · Report finding
Prices after inflation
Japan's inflation-adjusted house-price index rose +2.3% over its latest comparable year through 2025-Q4. The gap from nominal price momentum is +2.7%. Reading both series together separates housing-market movement from the change in consumer prices, while preserving the official source period for each measure.
03 · Report finding
Valuation against rents and incomes
Japan's relative valuation evidence is read from indexed relationships rather than cash prices or an investable yield. Price to rent is 139.8 for 2025-Q4 on the 2015 = 100 source basis; Price to income is 114.1 for 2025-Q4 on the 2015 = 100 source basis. House prices have risen more than rents since the 2015 reference. House prices have risen more than disposable income since the 2015 reference. These measures show movement against their reference period and should not be treated as a direct comparison of home prices between countries.
04 · Report finding
Position within Asia-Pacific
Japan ranks 4th of 13 current quality-gated markets in Asia-Pacific on latest annual nominal house-price movement. Its reading sits at the 75th percentile of that published regional set, while the regional midpoint is +3.3%. This is a current-cycle comparison; national methods, dwelling coverage and release calendars still differ.
05 · Report finding
Markets with a similar latest direction
Japan's nearest published peers by annual house-price movement are Italy (+5.2% through 2026-Q1), Serbia (+5.3% through 2026-Q1), Switzerland (+4.7% through 2026-Q1), Chile (+5.5% through 2025-Q4). The peer set is recalculated from current official observations at build time, so membership can change after a source release. Similar momentum does not imply similar price levels, affordability, financing conditions or local supply constraints.
06 · Report finding
Depth below the national series
Japan's local evidence is summarized separately from the national series. No quality-gated local market series is attached to this country report, so the evidence remains national. That absence is explicit: it is not interpreted as uniform conditions across cities or regions. The country report uses local coverage only to describe the available evidence and link to its source-specific pages; local price levels, transaction samples and rent measures are not blended into the national index or used to manufacture a national average.
Underlying indicators
Japan report score sheet
Open any measure to inspect its full official history, scope, base period and source.
Peer context
Current position within Asia-Pacific
Japan is ranked against quality-gated national price histories with current annual observations. The closest-movement peers are recalculated with every approved data refresh.
| Market | Latest period | Annual movement |
|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2026-Q1 | +5.2% |
| Serbia | 2026-Q1 | +5.3% |
| Switzerland | 2026-Q1 | +4.7% |
| Chile | 2025-Q4 | +5.5% |
Local market depth
Evidence beneath the national index
Local coverage is presented only where a reviewed source qualifies. It adds detail without being blended into the national series.
No current local series passes the publication gate for this report. Analysis remains national rather than inferring conditions for individual cities.
Publication method
How this report qualifies
Publication requires a current national price history, at least three finite metrics, a complete scorecard, regional and peer context, substantive unique narrative, source disclosure and valid internal evidence links.
The report is rebuilt from approved snapshots. If any gate fails, the route is withheld rather than serving partial or stale analysis.
Official sources